# Trenchonomics — live macro, markets & crypto data

Updated: 2026-09-19T17:36:50.694Z

> This is the complete dataset. Structured JSON (same data + sparkline history): https://www.trenchonomics.com/api/dashboard
> Directions: ▲ rising, ▼ falling. Interpret risk with the indicator's nature (e.g. rising VIX/spreads = risk-off).

## Markets

- **S&P 500**: $761.69 ▼ −0.12% (SPY proxy) — as of 09-18
- **Nasdaq 100**: $721.45 ▲ +0.63% (QQQ proxy) — as of 09-18
- **Russell 2000**: $284.10 ▼ −0.47% (IWM proxy) — as of 09-18
- **VIX**: 15.4 ▼ −2.3 (volatility) — as of 09-17

## Crypto

- **Bitcoin**: $81,830 ▲ +1.17% (7d)
- **Ethereum**: $2,649 ▲ +1.97% (7d)
- **Crypto Market Cap**: $2.81T ▼ −1.17% (total)
- **BTC Dominance**: 58.4%
- **Crypto Fear & Greed**: 71 ▲ +15 (Greed)

## Rates & Fed

- **FOMC Odds**: 56% 25bp hike (Oct 28) — as of Polymarket
- **Fed Funds**: 3.88% ▲ +25 bp (EFFR) — as of 09-17
- **2Y Treasury**: 4.67% ▼ −7 bp — as of 09-17
- **10Y Treasury**: 4.94% ▼ −7 bp — as of 09-17
- **2s10s Spread**: 0.25% ▼ −2 bp (10Y − 2Y) — as of 09-18
- **High-Yield Spread**: 2.70% → +0 bp (OAS) — as of 09-17
- **Fed Balance Sheet**: $6.75T ▲ +0.09% (weekly) — as of 09-16

## Economy

- **CPI Inflation**: 3.7% ▲ +0.17 pp (YoY) — as of Aug
- **Core PCE**: 3.3% ▲ +0.00 pp (YoY) — as of Jul
- **Unemployment**: 4.1% → +0.0 — as of Aug
- **Nonfarm Payrolls**: +162K ▲ +141K vs prior (MoM) — as of Aug
- **Jobless Claims**: 196K ▼ −10 (initial, weekly) — as of 09-12
- **GDP Growth**: 1.5% ▼ −0.6 (QoQ annualized) — as of Apr
- **Consumer Sentiment**: 55.2 ▲ +5.7 (U. Michigan) — as of Jul
- **Retail Sales**: +1.2% ▲ +1.9 pp (MoM) — as of Aug

## Commodities & FX

- **Crude Oil (WTI)**: $107.02 ▲ +4.49% — as of 09-15
- **Natural Gas**: $2.97 ▲ +4.21% (Henry Hub) — as of 09-15
- **Gold**: $4,380 ▲ +0.06% (XAU/USD) — as of 09-19
- **Copper**: $40.23 ▲ +1.44% (CPER proxy) — as of 09-18
- **US Dollar Index**: 118.21 ▲ +0.11% (broad, Fed) — as of 09-11

## Upcoming events (US Eastern)

- 2026-09-24 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q2 (3rd est) [data]
- 2026-09-25 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-10-01 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]
- 2026-10-02 08:30 ET — Nonfarm Payrolls [data]
- 2026-10-05 10:00 ET — ISM Services PMI [data]
- 2026-10-07 14:00 ET — FOMC Minutes [fed]
- 2026-10-13 08:30 ET (approx.) — CPI Release [data]
- 2026-10-16 08:30 ET (approx.) — Retail Sales [data]
- 2026-10-16 — Options Expiry [opex]
- 2026-10-28 14:00 ET — FOMC Rate Decision [fed]
- 2026-10-29 (approx.) — ECB Rate Decision [global]
- 2026-10-29 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q3 (advance) [data]
- 2026-10-30 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-11-02 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]
- 2026-11-04 10:00 ET — ISM Services PMI [data]
- 2026-11-06 08:30 ET — Nonfarm Payrolls [data]
- 2026-11-12 08:30 ET (approx.) — CPI Release [data]
- 2026-11-16 08:30 ET (approx.) — Retail Sales [data]
- 2026-11-18 14:00 ET — FOMC Minutes [fed]
- 2026-11-20 — Options Expiry [opex]
- 2026-11-25 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-11-26 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q3 (2nd est) [data]
- 2026-12-01 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]
- 2026-12-03 10:00 ET — ISM Services PMI [data]
- 2026-12-04 08:30 ET — Nonfarm Payrolls [data]
- 2026-12-09 14:00 ET — FOMC Rate Decision [fed]
- 2026-12-10 08:30 ET (approx.) — CPI Release [data]
- 2026-12-16 08:30 ET (approx.) — Retail Sales [data]

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Sources: FRED, Twelve Data, CoinGecko, Polymarket, alternative.me. Indices via ETF proxies; FRED market series lag ~1 day. Not investment advice.